The model estimates 1.13 goals for Florgrade and 0.91 for Salgueiros. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Florgrade and 6 for Salgueiros, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Florgrade · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Florgrade is going head to head with Salgueiros on December 20, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 12.
Florgrade take on Salgueiros in the Campeonato de Portugal on 20 December 2026 at 18:00.
Florgrade are currently placed 15th in the table with 10 points, while Salgueiros occupy 36th position with 6 points.
Florgrade come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Salgueiros have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Florgrade to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.05. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 42%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Salgueiros's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Salgueiros have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Salgueiros have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.