The model estimates 1.56 goals for FC Alpendorada and 1.35 for Florgrade. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Alpendorada and 6 for Florgrade, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: FC Alpendorada · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Alpendorada is going head to head with Florgrade on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 13.
FC Alpendorada take on Florgrade in the Campeonato de Portugal on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
FC Alpendorada are currently placed 44th in the table with 5 points, while Florgrade occupy 15th position with 10 points.
FC Alpendorada come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Florgrade have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, FC Alpendorada have 1 win against Florgrade, with 1 draw.
Prediction: FC Alpendorada to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.91. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 60%.




FC Alpendorada have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of FC Alpendorada's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of FC Alpendorada's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Florgrade's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Florgrade have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Florgrade have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.