The model estimates 1.46 goals for Estrela Calheta and 1.59 for Sanjoanense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Estrela Calheta and 6 for Sanjoanense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sanjoanense · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Estrela Calheta is going head to head with Sanjoanense on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 13.
Estrela Calheta take on Sanjoanense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Estrela Calheta are currently placed 45th in the table with 5 points, while Sanjoanense occupy 24th position with 8 points.
Estrela Calheta come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sanjoanense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Sanjoanense to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.06. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 63%.




Estrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sanjoanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sanjoanense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sanjoanense's last 6 matches.