The model estimates 1.40 goals for Fiorentina and 1.16 for Lecce. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fiorentina and 6 for Lecce, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fiorentina · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fiorentina is going head to head with Lecce on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 19.
Fiorentina take on Lecce in the Serie A on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Fiorentina are currently placed 19th in the table with 4 points, while Lecce occupy 14th position with 9 points.
Fiorentina come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 40 recorded meetings, Fiorentina have 16 wins against Lecce, with 13 draws.
Prediction: Fiorentina to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.