The model estimates 1.76 goals for Atalanta and 1.56 for Fiorentina. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atalanta and 6 for Fiorentina, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atalanta · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atalanta is going head to head with Fiorentina on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 22.
Atalanta take on Fiorentina in the Serie A on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Atalanta are currently placed 12th in the table with 14 points, while Fiorentina occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Atalanta come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fiorentina have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Atalanta have 8 wins against Fiorentina, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Atalanta to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.32. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 67%.




Atalanta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atalanta have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Atalanta concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.