The model estimates 1.20 goals for Genoa and 0.96 for Lecce. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Genoa and 6 for Lecce, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lecce · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Genoa is going head to head with Lecce on January 31, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 22.
Genoa take on Lecce in the Serie A on 31 January 2027 at 00:00.
Genoa are currently placed 13th in the table with 10 points, while Lecce occupy 14th position with 9 points.
Genoa come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Genoa have 14 wins against Lecce, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Genoa to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.17. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, Genoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Genoa's last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.