The model estimates 1.65 goals for Fiorentina and 1.56 for Sassuolo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fiorentina and 6 for Sassuolo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sassuolo · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fiorentina is going head to head with Sassuolo on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 21.
Fiorentina take on Sassuolo in the Serie A on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Fiorentina are currently placed 19th in the table with 4 points, while Sassuolo occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Fiorentina come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sassuolo have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Fiorentina have 9 wins against Sassuolo, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Fiorentina to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.22. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 65%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Sassuolo have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sassuolo's last 6 matches.
Sassuolo have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.