The model estimates 0.90 goals for Cagliari and 1.03 for Genoa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cagliari and 6 for Genoa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Genoa · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cagliari is going head to head with Genoa on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 17.
Cagliari take on Genoa in the Serie A on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Cagliari are currently placed 6th in the table with 15 points, while Genoa occupy 13th position with 10 points.
Cagliari come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Genoa have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 66 recorded meetings, Cagliari have 25 wins against Genoa, with 19 draws.
Prediction: Cagliari and Genoa to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.93. Over 2.5: 31%. BTTS: 40%.




Cagliari have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cagliari concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Cagliari's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Genoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Genoa's last 6 matches.
Genoa have won only 1 of their last 6 away matches.