The model estimates 1.14 goals for FC Alpendorada and 1.86 for Ovarense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Alpendorada and 6 for Ovarense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ovarense · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Alpendorada is going head to head with Ovarense on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 20.
FC Alpendorada take on Ovarense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
FC Alpendorada are currently placed 44th in the table with 5 points, while Ovarense occupy 1st position with 16 points.
FC Alpendorada come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ovarense have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ovarense to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.00. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 59%.




FC Alpendorada have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of FC Alpendorada's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of FC Alpendorada's last 6 matches.
Ovarense are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ovarense have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Ovarense have won 5 of their last 6 matches.