The model estimates 2.18 goals for FC Alpendorada and 1.41 for Estrela Calheta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for FC Alpendorada and 6 for Estrela Calheta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: FC Alpendorada · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
FC Alpendorada is going head to head with Estrela Calheta on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 22.
FC Alpendorada take on Estrela Calheta in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
FC Alpendorada are currently placed 44th in the table with 5 points, while Estrela Calheta occupy 45th position with 5 points.
FC Alpendorada come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Calheta have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, FC Alpendorada have 1 win against Estrela Calheta.
Prediction: FC Alpendorada to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.58. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 68%.
FC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC ESTFC Alpendorada have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of FC Alpendorada's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of FC Alpendorada's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
