The model estimates 1.32 goals for Excelsior and 1.71 for Nijmegen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior and 6 for Nijmegen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nijmegen · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior is going head to head with Nijmegen on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 26.
Excelsior take on Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Nijmegen occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Excelsior come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nijmegen have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 44 recorded meetings, Excelsior have 17 wins against Nijmegen, with 10 draws.
Prediction: Nijmegen to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.03. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.




Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Nijmegen have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Nijmegen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nijmegen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.