The model estimates 2.37 goals for Groningen and 1.70 for Excelsior. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Groningen and 6 for Excelsior, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Groningen · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Groningen is going head to head with Excelsior on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 29.
Groningen take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Groningen are currently placed 8th in the table with 15 points, while Excelsior occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Groningen come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, Groningen have 27 wins against Excelsior, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Groningen to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.07. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 75%.




In their last 6 matches, Groningen have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Groningen's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.