The model estimates 1.23 goals for Nijmegen and 2.00 for Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nijmegen and 6 for Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nijmegen is going head to head with Ajax on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 27.
Nijmegen take on Ajax in the Eredivisie on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Nijmegen are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Ajax occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
Nijmegen come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ajax have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 92 recorded meetings, Ajax have 67 wins against Nijmegen, with 21 draws.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.23. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 63%.




Nijmegen have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Nijmegen's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nijmegen have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.