The model estimates 1.65 goals for Excelsior and 1.44 for Zwolle. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior and 6 for Zwolle, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior is going head to head with Zwolle on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 28.
Excelsior take on Zwolle in the Eredivisie on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Zwolle occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Excelsior come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Zwolle have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Excelsior to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.09. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.




Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Zwolle have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Zwolle's last 6 matches.
Zwolle concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.