The model estimates 2.25 goals for Excelsior '31 and 1.17 for DVS '33 Ermelo. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior '31 and 6 for DVS '33 Ermelo, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior '31 · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior '31 is going head to head with DVS '33 Ermelo on December 05, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 16.
Excelsior '31 take on DVS '33 Ermelo in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 5 December 2026 at 16:30.
Excelsior '31 are currently placed 8th in the table with 22 points, while DVS '33 Ermelo occupy 28th position with 9 points.
Excelsior '31 come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas DVS '33 Ermelo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Excelsior '31 have 5 wins against DVS '33 Ermelo, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Excelsior '31 to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.42. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 63%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior '31's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior '31 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Excelsior '31 have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of DVS '33 Ermelo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of DVS '33 Ermelo's last 6 matches.
DVS '33 Ermelo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.