The model estimates 1.74 goals for DVS '33 Ermelo and 1.73 for ADO 20 Heemskerk. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for DVS '33 Ermelo and 6 for ADO 20 Heemskerk, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: DVS '33 Ermelo · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
DVS '33 Ermelo is going head to head with ADO 20 Heemskerk on December 12, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 17.
DVS '33 Ermelo take on ADO 20 Heemskerk in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 12 December 2026 at 17:00.
DVS '33 Ermelo are currently placed 28th in the table with 9 points, while ADO 20 Heemskerk occupy 18th position with 14 points.
DVS '33 Ermelo come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas ADO 20 Heemskerk have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, DVS '33 Ermelo have yet to beat ADO 20 Heemskerk, with 2 draws.
Prediction: DVS '33 Ermelo to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.47. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 69%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of DVS '33 Ermelo's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of DVS '33 Ermelo's last 6 matches.
DVS '33 Ermelo have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of ADO 20 Heemskerk's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of ADO 20 Heemskerk's last 6 matches.
ADO 20 Heemskerk have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.