The model estimates 1.33 goals for Everton and 0.93 for Sunderland. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Everton and 6 for Sunderland, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Everton · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Everton is going head to head with Sunderland on December 26, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 17.
Everton take on Sunderland in the Premier League on 26 December 2026 at 15:00.
Everton are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Sunderland occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Everton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sunderland have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 149 recorded meetings, Everton have 69 wins against Sunderland, with 24 draws.
Prediction: Everton to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 46%.




Everton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Everton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Everton concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sunderland have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sunderland have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 matches.