The model estimates 1.04 goals for Everton and 1.71 for Manchester City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Everton and 6 for Manchester City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Manchester City · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Everton is going head to head with Manchester City on December 29, 2026 at 20:15. This match is part of Premier League — Round 18.
Everton take on Manchester City in the Premier League on 29 December 2026 at 20:15.
Everton are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Manchester City occupy 1st position with 21 points.
Everton come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Manchester City have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 186 recorded meetings, Manchester City have 78 wins against Everton, with 47 draws.
Prediction: Manchester City to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 54%.
EVEMANEVEMANEVEMANEVEMANEVEMANEVEMANEVEMANEVEMANEVEMANEverton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Everton's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Everton's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Manchester City have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Manchester City's last 6 matches.
Manchester City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
