The model estimates 1.28 goals for Leeds United and 0.70 for Everton. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Leeds United and 6 for Everton, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Leeds United · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Leeds United is going head to head with Everton on January 01, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 19.
Leeds United take on Everton in the Premier League on 1 January 2027 at 00:00.
Leeds United are currently placed 7th in the table with 11 points, while Everton occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Leeds United come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Everton have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 107 recorded meetings, Leeds United have 48 wins against Everton, with 31 draws.
Prediction: Leeds United to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.97. Over 2.5: 32%. BTTS: 38%.




Leeds United have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Leeds United have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Leeds United's last 6 matches.
Everton have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Everton have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Everton concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.