The model estimates 1.40 goals for Guarda FC and 0.92 for Estrela Calheta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Guarda FC and 6 for Estrela Calheta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Guarda FC · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Guarda FC is going head to head with Estrela Calheta on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 24.
Guarda FC take on Estrela Calheta in the Campeonato de Portugal on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Guarda FC are currently placed 49th in the table with 4 points, while Estrela Calheta occupy 43rd position with 6 points.
Guarda FC come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Estrela Calheta have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Guarda FC to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.32. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 47%.
GUAESTGUAESTGUAESTGUAESTGUAESTGUAESTGUAESTGUAESTGUAESTGuarda FC have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Guarda FC's last 6 matches.
Guarda FC have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Estrela Calheta have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Estrela Calheta's last 6 matches.
