The model estimates 1.94 goals for Durango and 1.09 for Aurrerá de Vitoria. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Durango and 6 for Aurrerá de Vitoria, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Durango · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Durango is going head to head with Aurrerá de Vitoria on November 22, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 12.
Durango take on Aurrerá de Vitoria in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 22 November 2026 at 20:00.
Durango are currently placed 8th in the table with 13 points, while Aurrerá de Vitoria occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
Durango come into this match with 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aurrerá de Vitoria have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 12 recorded meetings, Durango have 5 wins against Aurrerá de Vitoria, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Durango to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.04. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 58%.


Durango are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Durango have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Durango's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aurrerá de Vitoria's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Aurrerá de Vitoria have won 4 of their last 6 matches.