The model estimates 2.03 goals for Aurrerá de Vitoria and 1.18 for Pasaia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aurrerá de Vitoria and 6 for Pasaia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Aurrerá de Vitoria · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aurrerá de Vitoria is going head to head with Pasaia on December 13, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 15.
Aurrerá de Vitoria take on Pasaia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 13 December 2026 at 20:00.
Aurrerá de Vitoria are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while Pasaia occupy 13th position with 10 points.
Aurrerá de Vitoria come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pasaia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, Aurrerá de Vitoria have 3 wins against Pasaia, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Aurrerá de Vitoria to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 61%.


There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aurrerá de Vitoria's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Aurrerá de Vitoria have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Pasaia's last 6 matches.
Pasaia have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.