The model estimates 1.10 goals for Aurrerá de Vitoria and 1.41 for Derio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Aurrerá de Vitoria and 6 for Derio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derio · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Aurrerá de Vitoria is going head to head with Derio on November 29, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 4 — Round 13.
Aurrerá de Vitoria take on Derio in the Spain Tercera Division Group 4 on 29 November 2026 at 20:00.
Aurrerá de Vitoria are currently placed 2nd in the table with 16 points, while Derio occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Aurrerá de Vitoria come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derio have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Aurrerá de Vitoria have yet to beat Derio, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Derio to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.51. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.
AURDERAURDERAURDERAURDERAURDERAURDERAURDERAURDERAURDERThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Aurrerá de Vitoria's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aurrerá de Vitoria have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Aurrerá de Vitoria have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Derio have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Derio have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derio's last 6 matches.
