The model estimates 1.04 goals for Derby and 1.65 for QPR. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for QPR, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: QPR · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with QPR on February 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 32.
Derby take on QPR in the Championship on 16 February 2027 at 00:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while QPR occupy 8th position with 20 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas QPR have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, QPR have 1 win against Derby.
Prediction: QPR to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.68. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 54%.




Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, QPR have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
QPR have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of QPR's last 6 matches.