European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.65 goals for Derby and 1.53 for Burnley. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Derby and 6 for Burnley, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Derby · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Derby is going head to head with Burnley on February 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 33.
Derby take on Burnley in the Championship on 20 February 2027 at 00:00.
Derby are currently placed 23rd in the table with 7 points, while Burnley occupy 22nd position with 8 points.
Derby come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Burnley have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Derby have yet to beat Burnley, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Derby to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.18. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 65%.
DERBURDERBURDERBURDERBURDERBURDERBURDERBURDERBURDERBURDerby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.
Burnley have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Burnley's last 6 matches.
