The model estimates 1.99 goals for Cardiff City and 0.93 for Derby. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cardiff City and 6 for Derby, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Cardiff City · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cardiff City is going head to head with Derby on March 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 35.
Cardiff City take on Derby in the Championship on 2 March 2027 at 00:00.
Cardiff City are currently placed 16th in the table with 14 points, while Derby occupy 23rd position with 7 points.
Cardiff City come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Cardiff City have yet to beat Derby, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Cardiff City to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.92. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Cardiff City have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Cardiff City's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Cardiff City's last 6 matches.
Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.