The model estimates 1.66 goals for Wrexham and 1.00 for Derby. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Wrexham and 6 for Derby, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Wrexham · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Wrexham is going head to head with Derby on February 27, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Championship — Round 34.
Wrexham take on Derby in the Championship on 27 February 2027 at 00:00.
Wrexham are currently placed 17th in the table with 14 points, while Derby occupy 23rd position with 7 points.
Wrexham come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Derby have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Wrexham have yet to beat Derby, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Wrexham to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 53%.




Wrexham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Wrexham's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Wrexham's last 6 matches.
Derby have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Derby's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Derby's last 6 matches.