The model estimates 1.75 goals for Den Haag and 1.55 for Excelsior. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Den Haag and 6 for Excelsior, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Den Haag · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Den Haag is going head to head with Excelsior on December 06, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 15.
Den Haag take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 6 December 2026 at 19:00.
Den Haag are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Excelsior occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Den Haag come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Den Haag to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.30. Over 2.5: 64%. BTTS: 66%.




Den Haag have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Den Haag's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Den Haag's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.