The model estimates 1.41 goals for Jong Ajax and 2.31 for Almere City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong Ajax and 6 for Almere City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Almere City · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong Ajax is going head to head with Almere City on March 15, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 30.
Jong Ajax take on Almere City in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 15 March 2027 at 00:00.
Jong Ajax are currently placed 15th in the table with 12 points, while Almere City occupy 4th position with 22 points.
Jong Ajax come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Almere City have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, Jong Ajax have 12 wins against Almere City, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Almere City to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.72. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 69%.




Jong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Almere City have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Almere City score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.