The model estimates 3.73 goals for Venlo and 1.29 for Jong Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Venlo and 6 for Jong Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Venlo · 74%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Venlo is going head to head with Jong Ajax on March 05, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 29.
Venlo take on Jong Ajax in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 5 March 2027 at 00:00.
Venlo are currently placed 2nd in the table with 25 points, while Jong Ajax occupy 15th position with 12 points.
Venlo come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jong Ajax have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Venlo have 1 win against Jong Ajax.
Prediction: Venlo to win with probability 73%. Most likely scoreline: 3-1. Avg goals: 5.02. Over 2.5: 88%. BTTS: 71%.




In their last 6 matches, Venlo have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Venlo's last 6 matches.
Venlo have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Jong Ajax's last 6 matches.
Jong Ajax have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.