The model estimates 2.44 goals for Almere City and 1.02 for De Graafschap. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Almere City and 6 for De Graafschap, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Almere City · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Almere City is going head to head with De Graafschap on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 29.
Almere City take on De Graafschap in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Almere City are currently placed 4th in the table with 22 points, while De Graafschap occupy 16th position with 12 points.
Almere City come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas De Graafschap have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 37 recorded meetings, De Graafschap have 19 wins against Almere City, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Almere City to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.46. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 60%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Almere City's last 6 matches.
Almere City have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Almere City score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.