The model estimates 0.66 goals for Cagliari and 1.38 for Como. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cagliari and 6 for Como, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Como · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cagliari is going head to head with Como on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 20.
Cagliari take on Como in the Serie A on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Cagliari are currently placed 6th in the table with 15 points, while Como occupy 5th position with 17 points.
Cagliari come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Como have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Como to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.03. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 38%.




In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Cagliari have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cagliari's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Como have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Como have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Como score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.