The model estimates 1.27 goals for Atalanta and 1.75 for Como. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Atalanta and 6 for Como, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Como · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Atalanta is going head to head with Como on January 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 18.
Atalanta take on Como in the Serie A on 6 January 2027 at 00:00.
Atalanta are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Como occupy 5th position with 17 points.
Atalanta come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Como have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Como to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.02. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 61%.




Atalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Como have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Como have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Como score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.