The model estimates 1.56 goals for Como and 0.59 for Cagliari. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Como and 6 for Cagliari, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Como · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Como is going head to head with Cagliari on November 22, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 12.
Como take on Cagliari in the Serie A on 22 November 2026 at 17:30.
Como are currently placed 5th in the table with 17 points, while Cagliari occupy 6th position with 15 points.
Como come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cagliari have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Como to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.15. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 37%.




In their last 6 matches, Como have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Como have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Como score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cagliari have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Cagliari have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cagliari's last 6 matches.