The model estimates 1.01 goals for Cagliari and 1.71 for AC Milan. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cagliari and 6 for AC Milan, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AC Milan · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cagliari is going head to head with AC Milan on November 29, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 13.
Cagliari take on AC Milan in the Serie A on 29 November 2026 at 20:30.
Cagliari are currently placed 6th in the table with 15 points, while AC Milan occupy 5th position with 18 points.
Cagliari come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AC Milan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: AC Milan to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.72. Over 2.5: 51%. BTTS: 54%.




Cagliari have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cagliari concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Cagliari's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, AC Milan have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AC Milan's last 6 matches.
AC Milan score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.