The model estimates 1.00 goals for Chesterfield and 0.77 for Exeter City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chesterfield and 6 for Exeter City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chesterfield · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chesterfield is going head to head with Exeter City on December 01, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of League Two — Round 18.
Chesterfield take on Exeter City in the League Two on 1 December 2026 at 19:45.
Chesterfield are currently placed 7th in the table with 19 points, while Exeter City occupy 8th position with 19 points.
Chesterfield come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Exeter City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 15 recorded meetings, Chesterfield have 9 wins against Exeter City, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Chesterfield to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.77. Over 2.5: 26%. BTTS: 36%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Chesterfield's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chesterfield have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chesterfield have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Exeter City are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Exeter City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.