The model estimates 1.43 goals for Exeter City and 0.60 for Rochdale. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Exeter City and 6 for Rochdale, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Exeter City · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Exeter City is going head to head with Rochdale on December 12, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 19.
Exeter City take on Rochdale in the League Two on 12 December 2026 at 15:00.
Exeter City are currently placed 8th in the table with 19 points, while Rochdale occupy 17th position with 15 points.
Exeter City come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rochdale have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Exeter City have 12 wins against Rochdale, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Exeter City to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.03. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 36%.




Exeter City are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Exeter City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Rochdale have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Rochdale's last 6 matches.
Rochdale concede an average of 2.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.