The model estimates 1.02 goals for Exeter City and 0.56 for Newport County. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Exeter City and 6 for Newport County, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Exeter City · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Exeter City is going head to head with Newport County on December 26, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 21.
Exeter City take on Newport County in the League Two on 26 December 2026 at 15:00.
Exeter City are currently placed 8th in the table with 19 points, while Newport County occupy 15th position with 15 points.
Exeter City come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Newport County have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Exeter City have 7 wins against Newport County, with 9 draws.
Prediction: Exeter City to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.59. Over 2.5: 21%. BTTS: 29%.




Exeter City are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Exeter City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Newport County have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Newport County have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Newport County's last 6 matches.