The model estimates 1.41 goals for Sunderland and 1.80 for Chelsea. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sunderland and 6 for Chelsea, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chelsea · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sunderland is going head to head with Chelsea on November 08, 2026 at 14:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 10.
Sunderland take on Chelsea in the Premier League on 8 November 2026 at 14:00.
Sunderland are currently placed 20th in the table with 5 points, while Chelsea occupy 5th position with 13 points.
Sunderland come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chelsea have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 115 recorded meetings, Chelsea have 57 wins against Sunderland, with 19 draws.
Prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 64%.




In their last 6 matches, Sunderland have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sunderland have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chelsea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Chelsea score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.