The model estimates 1.63 goals for Chelsea and 1.54 for Liverpool. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chelsea and 6 for Liverpool, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chelsea · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chelsea is going head to head with Liverpool on December 05, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 14.
Chelsea take on Liverpool in the Premier League on 5 December 2026 at 12:30.
Chelsea are currently placed 5th in the table with 16 points, while Liverpool occupy 4th position with 18 points.
Chelsea come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Liverpool have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 195 recorded meetings, Liverpool have 79 wins against Chelsea, with 51 draws.
Prediction: Chelsea to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.17. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 65%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Chelsea's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chelsea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chelsea have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Liverpool have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Liverpool have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Liverpool's last 6 away matches.