The model estimates 1.61 goals for Chavdar Etropole and 2.03 for Natsional Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chavdar Etropole and 6 for Natsional Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Natsional Sofia · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chavdar Etropole is going head to head with Natsional Sofia on October 31, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South West — Round 15.
Chavdar Etropole take on Natsional Sofia in the Bulgaria Third League South West on 31 October 2026 at 15:00.
Chavdar Etropole are currently placed 14th in the table with 14 points, while Natsional Sofia occupy 17th position with 11 points.
Chavdar Etropole come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Natsional Sofia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Natsional Sofia to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.64. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 71%.
CHANATCHANATCHANATCHANATCHANATCHANATCHANATCHANATCHANATIn their last 6 matches, Chavdar Etropole have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chavdar Etropole have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Chavdar Etropole concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Natsional Sofia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Natsional Sofia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Natsional Sofia's last 6 away matches.
