The model estimates 1.11 goals for Natsional Sofia and 0.96 for CSKA Sofia III. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Natsional Sofia and 6 for CSKA Sofia III, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Natsional Sofia · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Natsional Sofia is going head to head with CSKA Sofia III on October 28, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South West — Round 14.
Natsional Sofia take on CSKA Sofia III in the Bulgaria Third League South West on 28 October 2026 at 17:00.
Natsional Sofia are currently placed 16th in the table with 10 points, while CSKA Sofia III occupy 10th position with 16 points.
Natsional Sofia come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas CSKA Sofia III have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Natsional Sofia to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.07. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 43%.




Natsional Sofia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Natsional Sofia's last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Natsional Sofia's last 6 home matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of CSKA Sofia III's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, CSKA Sofia III have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
CSKA Sofia III have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.