The model estimates 1.97 goals for Belasitsa and 1.59 for Natsional Sofia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Belasitsa and 6 for Natsional Sofia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Belasitsa · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Belasitsa is going head to head with Natsional Sofia on November 07, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South West — Round 16.
Belasitsa take on Natsional Sofia in the Bulgaria Third League South West on 7 November 2026 at 15:00.
Belasitsa are currently placed 12th in the table with 15 points, while Natsional Sofia occupy 17th position with 11 points.
Belasitsa come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Natsional Sofia have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Belasitsa to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.56. Over 2.5: 69%. BTTS: 70%.




Belasitsa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Belasitsa's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Belasitsa's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Natsional Sofia have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Natsional Sofia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Natsional Sofia's last 6 away matches.