The model estimates 2.58 goals for Natsional Sofia and 1.07 for Razlog. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Natsional Sofia and 6 for Razlog, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Natsional Sofia · 57%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Natsional Sofia is going head to head with Razlog on November 14, 2026 at 15:00. This match is part of Bulgaria Third League South West — Round 17.
Natsional Sofia take on Razlog in the Bulgaria Third League South West on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Natsional Sofia are currently placed 16th in the table with 10 points, while Razlog occupy 18th position with 7 points.
Natsional Sofia come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Razlog have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Natsional Sofia to win with probability 65%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.65. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 62%.




Natsional Sofia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Natsional Sofia's last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Natsional Sofia's last 6 home matches.
Razlog have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Razlog have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Razlog's last 6 matches.