The model estimates 1.43 goals for Celoricense and 0.49 for Maria de Fonte. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Celoricense and 6 for Maria de Fonte, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Celoricense · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Celoricense is going head to head with Maria de Fonte on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 15.
Celoricense take on Maria de Fonte in the Campeonato de Portugal on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Celoricense are currently placed 26th in the table with 9 points, while Maria de Fonte occupy 51st position with 3 points.
Celoricense come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Maria de Fonte have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Celoricense have 1 win against Maria de Fonte.
Prediction: Celoricense to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.92. Over 2.5: 30%. BTTS: 31%.
CELMARCELMARCELMARCELMARCELMARCELMARCELMARCELMARCELMARIn their last 6 matches, Celoricense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Celoricense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Celoricense's last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
