The model estimates 0.76 goals for Vila Mea and 0.91 for Celoricense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vila Mea and 6 for Celoricense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vila Mea is going head to head with Celoricense on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 18.
Vila Mea take on Celoricense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Vila Mea are currently placed 22nd in the table with 8 points, while Celoricense occupy 25th position with 8 points.
Vila Mea come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Celoricense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Vila Mea have yet to beat Celoricense, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Vila Mea and Celoricense to draw with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.66. Over 2.5: 23%. BTTS: 33%.




In their last 6 matches, Vila Mea have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Vila Mea have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Vila Mea's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Celoricense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Celoricense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Celoricense's last 6 matches.