The model estimates 1.67 goals for Castuera and 0.70 for Santa Amalia. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castuera and 6 for Santa Amalia, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castuera · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castuera is going head to head with Santa Amalia on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 34.
Castuera take on Santa Amalia in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
Castuera are currently placed 5th in the table with 16 points, while Santa Amalia occupy 12th position with 9 points.
Castuera come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Santa Amalia have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Santa Amalia have 3 wins against Castuera, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 57%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 42%.




In their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castuera have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Castuera have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Santa Amalia have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Santa Amalia have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Santa Amalia's last 6 matches.