The model estimates 1.97 goals for Castuera and 0.86 for Jaraíz. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Castuera and 6 for Jaraíz, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Castuera · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Castuera is going head to head with Jaraíz on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 32.
Castuera take on Jaraíz in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
Castuera are currently placed 5th in the table with 13 points, while Jaraíz occupy 12th position with 8 points.
Castuera come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Jaraíz have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Jaraíz have 2 wins against Castuera, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.83. Over 2.5: 54%. BTTS: 51%.




In their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Castuera have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Castuera score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Jaraíz have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Jaraíz have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Jaraíz's last 6 away matches.