The model estimates 1.08 goals for CD Zafra and 1.31 for Castuera. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for CD Zafra and 6 for Castuera, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: CD Zafra · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
CD Zafra is going head to head with Castuera on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Tercera Division Group 14 — Round 33.
CD Zafra take on Castuera in the Spain Tercera Division Group 14 on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
CD Zafra are currently placed 8th in the table with 11 points, while Castuera occupy 5th position with 16 points.
CD Zafra come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Castuera have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Castuera to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.39. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 50%.


CD Zafra have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of CD Zafra's last 5 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Castuera have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Castuera have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Castuera have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.