The model estimates 2.20 goals for Carlisle and 0.90 for Hartlepool. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Carlisle and 6 for Hartlepool, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Carlisle · 59%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Carlisle is going head to head with Hartlepool on December 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of England National League — Round 25.
Carlisle take on Hartlepool in the England National League on 28 December 2026 at 18:00.
Carlisle are currently placed 9th in the table with 23 points, while Hartlepool occupy 20th position with 15 points.
Carlisle come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hartlepool have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 41 recorded meetings, Carlisle have 17 wins against Hartlepool, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Carlisle to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.10. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 54%.
CARHARCARHARCARHARCARHARCARHARCARHARCARHARCARHARCARHARIn their last 6 matches, Carlisle have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Carlisle have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carlisle's last 6 matches.
Hartlepool have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hartlepool have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hartlepool's last 6 matches.
